MLB / mlb / live
OAK 8 / MIN 11OAKOakland Athletics41%
MINMinnesota Twins59%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline59%Model 20260720_auto
MINHome starterConnor PrielippConfirmed
OAK41%ML +132
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
MIN59%ML -158
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.1
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jeffrey SpringsOAK starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 0 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +131 draftkings / U -165 fanatics4 books at this line
Model over 4.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%under
O 2.575%under
O 3.556%under
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Connor PrielippMIN starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +115 bovada / U -133 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.544%over
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+132 / -158OAK / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+129)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -108 / U -114
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total