MLB / mlb / live
OAK 2 / MIN 0OAKOakland Athletics45%
MINMinnesota Twins55%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJacob LopezConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
MINHome starterZebby MatthewsConfirmed
OAK45%ML +116
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
MIN55%ML -138
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jacob LopezOAK starter / away
Projected K3.5Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 betmgm / U +131 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 3.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.545%over
O 4.527%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 betmgm / U -118 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%under
O 2.587%under
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.539%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -138OAK / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total