MLB / mlb / live
SEA 4 / MIN 11SEASeattle Mariners56%
MINMinnesota Twins44%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLuis Castillo
Model pickSEA moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
MINHome starterConnor Prielipp
SEA56%ML -135
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
MIN44%ML +114
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-135 / +114SEA / MIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-142)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
31 books29 ML23 run line21 total