MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHCChicago Cubs44%
MILMilwaukee Brewers56%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterKevin GausmanProbable
Model pickMIL moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
MILHome starterLogan HendersonProbable
CHC44%ML +112
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
MIL56%ML -136
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.6
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Kevin GausmanCHC starter / away
Projected K5.9
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.592%
O 3.582%
O 4.569%
O 5.553%
O 6.538%
O 7.525%
O 8.515%
O 9.59%
O 10.55%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Logan HendersonMIL starter / home
Projected K6.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.593%
O 3.584%
O 4.571%
O 5.556%
O 6.541%
O 7.527%
O 8.517%
O 9.510%
O 10.56%
O 11.53%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+112 / -136CHC / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -113
29 books28 ML22 run line21 total