MLB / mlb / live
CHC 6 / MIL 8CHCChicago Cubs42%
MILMilwaukee Brewers58%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterKevin GausmanConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline58%Model 20260907_auto
MILHome starterLogan HendersonConfirmed
CHC42%ML +110
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
MIL58%ML -132
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.6
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kevin GausmanCHC starter / away
Projected K5.9Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 betonlineag / U -148 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.553%over
O 6.538%under
O 7.525%under
O 8.515%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Logan HendersonMIL starter / home
Projected K6.1Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +135 betmgm / U -153 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 6.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.584%over
O 4.571%over
O 5.556%over
O 6.541%under
O 7.528%under
O 8.517%under
O 9.510%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -132CHC / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total