MLB / mlb / live
SEA 7 / MIL 5SEASeattle Mariners48%
MILMilwaukee Brewers52%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLogan GilbertConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline52%Model 20260817_auto
MILHome starterDustin MayConfirmed
SEA48%ML +106
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
MIL52%ML -123
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Logan GilbertSEA starter / away
Projected K6.3Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +112 fanduel / U -141 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 6.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.586%over
O 4.574%over
O 5.560%under
O 6.544%under
O 7.531%under
O 8.520%under
O 9.512%under
O 10.57%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Dustin MayMIL starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 1 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 betmgm / U -138 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%under
O 2.590%under
O 3.579%under
O 4.563%under
O 5.547%under
O 6.532%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+106 / -123SEA / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+171)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total