MLB / mlb / live
MIA 6 / MIL 8MIAMiami Marlins46%
MILMilwaukee Brewers54%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterMax MeyerConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260713_auto
MILHome starterShane DrohanConfirmed
MIA46%ML +117
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
MIL54%ML -138
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Max MeyerMIA starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -115 fanatics / U +108 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%over
O 5.545%under
O 6.530%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Shane DrohanMIL starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -138 fanduel / U +121 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.537%over
O 6.523%over
O 7.513%over
O 8.57%over
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+117 / -138MIA / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+151)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total