MLB / mlb / live
MIA 1 / MIL 3MIAMiami Marlins46%
MILMilwaukee Brewers54%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterEury PérezConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260713_auto
MILHome starterRobert GasserConfirmed
MIA46%ML +110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
MIL54%ML -130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eury PérezMIA starter / away
Projected K5.2Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -164 fanduel / U +128 fanduel3 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.559%over
O 5.542%over
O 6.528%over
O 7.517%over
O 8.59%over
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Robert GasserMIL starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -110 betonlineag / U +105 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.537%under
O 6.523%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -130MIA / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total