MLB / mlb / live
MIA 1 / MIL 2MIAMiami Marlins46%
MILMilwaukee Brewers54%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterSandy AlcantaraConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260713_auto
MILHome starterLogan HendersonConfirmed
MIA46%ML +128
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
MIL54%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Sandy AlcantaraMIA starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -140 draftkings / U +112 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 4.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.536%over
O 6.523%over
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Logan HendersonMIL starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betmgm / U -142 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+128 / -152MIA / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total