MLB / mlb / live
ARI 2 / MIL 13ARIArizona Diamondbacks42%
MILMilwaukee Brewers58%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMerrill Kelly
Model pickMIL moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
MILHome starterChad Patrick
ARI42%ML -104
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
MIL58%ML -115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-104 / -115ARI / MIL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-190)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -111
32 books30 ML24 run line22 total