MLB / mlb / live
NYM 15 / MIA 14NYMNew York Mets44%
MIAMiami Marlins56%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterRobert StockConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
MIAHome starterJanson JunkConfirmed
NYM44%ML +105
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
MIA56%ML -124
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Robert StockNYM starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 draftkings / U -142 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.534%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Janson JunkMIA starter / home
Projected K3.5Actual 0 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +117 betonlineag / U -132 fanduel8 books at this line
Model over 3.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%under
O 2.566%under
O 3.545%under
O 4.527%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -124NYM / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total