MLB / mlb / live
PIT 2 / MIA 8PITPittsburgh Pirates47%
MIAMiami Marlins53%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
MIAHome starterJanson JunkConfirmed
PIT47%ML +104
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
MIA53%ML -124
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Carmen MlodzinskiPIT starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -104 draftkings / U -113 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%under
O 2.574%under
O 3.555%under
O 4.536%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Janson JunkMIA starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +126 fanduel / U -153 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%under
O 3.555%under
O 4.536%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+104 / -124PIT / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+166)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -109
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total