MLB / mlb / live
SDP 7 / MIA 2SDPSan Diego Padres41%
MIAMiami Marlins59%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRandy VásquezConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline59%Model 20260720_auto
MIAHome starterEury PérezConfirmed
SDP41%ML +120
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
MIA59%ML -144
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Randy VásquezSDP starter / away
Projected K2.7Actual 0 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.575%under
O 2.550%under
O 3.529%under
O 4.514%under
O 5.56%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Eury PérezMIA starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -150 fanatics / U +128 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 5.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%under
O 3.583%under
O 4.569%under
O 5.553%under
O 6.538%under
O 7.525%under
O 8.515%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+120 / -144SDP / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+146)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total