MLB / mlb / live
SFG 3 / MIA 6SFGSan Francisco Giants45%
MIAMiami Marlins55%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterTrevor McDonaldConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline55%Model 20260616_auto
MIAHome starterMax MeyerConfirmed
SFG45%ML +120
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
MIA55%ML -145
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Trevor McDonaldSFG starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -103 betrivers / U -110 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%under
O 2.583%under
O 3.567%under
O 4.549%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Max MeyerMIA starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -139 betrivers / U +116 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.582%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.553%over
O 6.538%over
O 7.525%under
O 8.515%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+120 / -145SFG / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total