MLB / mlb / live
PHI 7 / MIA 2PHIPhiladelphia Phillies56%
MIAMiami Marlins44%
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Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterJesús Luzardo
Model pickPHI moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
MIAHome starterChris Paddack
PHI56%ML -145
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
MIA44%ML +122
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-145 / +122PHI / MIA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-138)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total