MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSDPSan Diego Padres46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterNick PivettaProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
LADHome starterTyler GlasnowProbable
SDP46%ML +145
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability61%Selected moneyline pick
LAD54%ML -175
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Nick PivettaSDP starter / away
Projected K4.2
Best price at 4.54.5O -114 betonlineag / U -107 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.561%
O 4.542%
O 5.526%
O 6.515%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Tyler GlasnowLAD starter / home
Projected K6.8
Best price at 7.57.5O +121 draftkings / U -150 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 7.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.596%
O 3.589%
O 4.579%
O 5.566%
O 6.551%
O 7.537%
O 8.525%
O 9.516%
O 10.510%
O 11.55%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+145 / -175SDP / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -116
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total