MLB / mlb / live
SDP 0 / LAD 7SDPSan Diego Padres46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterMichael KingConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
LADHome starterBrock StewartConfirmed
SDP46%ML +108
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
LAD54%ML -130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael KingSDP starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +124 fanduel / U -130 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Brock StewartLAD starter / home
Projected K3.0Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%under
O 2.558%under
O 3.536%under
O 4.520%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+108 / -130SDP / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total