MLB / mlb / live
CIN 1 / LAD 14CINCincinnati Reds42%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers58%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterRhett LowderConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline58%Model 20260907_auto
LADHome starterYoshinobu YamamotoConfirmed
CIN42%ML +232
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
LAD58%ML -285
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Rhett LowderCIN starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -115 bovada / U -103 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.534%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD starter / home
Projected K7.3Actual 10 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -106 fanduel / U -111 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 7.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.592%over
O 4.584%over
O 5.572%over
O 6.559%over
O 7.545%over
O 8.532%over
O 9.521%over
O 10.514%under
O 11.58%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+232 / -285CIN / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-129)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total