MLB / mlb / live
STL 13 / LAD 8STLSt. Louis Cardinals46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260831_auto
LADHome starterEric LauerConfirmed
STL46%ML +162
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
LAD54%ML -196
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael McGreevySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +130 bovada / U -155 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.534%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Eric LauerLAD starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 betonlineag / U +123 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%under
O 3.557%under
O 4.538%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+162 / -196STL / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+104)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -106 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total