MLB / mlb / live
PIT 4 / LAD 5PITPittsburgh Pirates39%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers61%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterBubba ChandlerConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline61%Model 20260817_auto
LADHome starterYoshinobu YamamotoConfirmed
PIT39%ML +200
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
LAD61%ML -244
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bubba ChandlerPIT starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betmgm / U -144 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.534%over
O 5.520%over
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD starter / home
Projected K6.2Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -130 betmgm / U +124 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 6.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.585%over
O 4.573%over
O 5.558%over
O 6.542%over
O 7.529%over
O 8.518%over
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+200 / -244PIT / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -114 / U -106
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total