MLB / mlb / live
KCR 2 / LAD 4KCRKansas City Royals47%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers53%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
LADHome starterEric LauerConfirmed
KCR47%ML +191
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
LAD53%ML -226
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Daniel Lynch IVKCR starter / away
Projected K3.1Actual 3 K / Over 1.5
Best price at 1.51.5O -190 betmgm / U +140 betmgm1 book at this line
Model over 1.581%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.581%over
O 2.560%over
O 3.538%under
O 4.521%under
O 5.510%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Eric LauerLAD starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +134 draftkings / U -164 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.533%over
O 5.519%over
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+191 / -226KCR / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-109)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total