MLB / mlb / live
KCR 4 / LAD 5KCRKansas City Royals41%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers59%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterMichael WachaConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline59%Model 20260810_auto
LADHome starterBlake SnellConfirmed
KCR41%ML +230
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
LAD59%ML -278
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael WachaKCR starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +106 draftkings / U -128 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Blake SnellLAD starter / home
Projected K6.5Actual 10 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +130 betmgm / U -153 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 6.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.562%over
O 6.547%over
O 7.534%over
O 8.522%over
O 9.514%over
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+230 / -278KCR / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -104 / U -118
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total