MLB / mlb / live
BOS 9 / LAD 4BOSBoston Red Sox45%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers55%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterRanger SuarezProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
LADHome starterEdgardo HenriquezProbable
BOS45%ML +116
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
LAD55%ML -137
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ranger SuarezBOS starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -108 fanduel / U -105 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%under
O 3.574%under
O 4.557%under
O 5.541%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Edgardo HenriquezLAD starter / homeThin data
Projected K3.6Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%under
O 2.568%under
O 3.548%under
O 4.529%under
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -137BOS / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total