MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSEASeattle Mariners55%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers45%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickSEA moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
LADHome starterStarter TBD
SEA55%ML +155
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability38%Selected moneyline pick
LAD45%ML -188
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.7
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Luis CastilloSEA starter / awayThin data
Projected K3.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%
O 2.561%
O 3.539%
O 4.522%
O 5.511%
O 6.55%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+155 / -188SEA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -120
32 books31 ML22 run line22 total