MLB / mlb / live
SDP 0 / LAD 3SDPSan Diego Padres42%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers58%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterWandy PeraltaProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline58%Model 20260629_auto
LADHome starterYoshinobu YamamotoProbable
SDP42%ML +210
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability69%Selected moneyline pick
LAD58%ML -263
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Wandy PeraltaSDP starter / away
Projected K2.1Actual 0 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.562%under
O 2.536%under
O 3.517%under
O 4.57%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD starter / home
Projected K6.0Actual 10 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +110 bovada / U -126 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 6.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.584%over
O 4.570%over
O 5.555%over
O 6.539%over
O 7.526%over
O 8.516%over
O 9.59%over
O 10.55%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+210 / -263SDP / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total