MLB / mlb / live
BAL 12 / LAD 1BALBaltimore Orioles45%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers55%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterBrandon YoungConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline55%Model 20260616_auto
LADHome starterEmmet SheehanConfirmed
BAL45%ML +194
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability67%Selected moneyline pick
LAD55%ML -235
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.5
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Brandon YoungBAL starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -140 fanatics / U +114 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%over
O 4.537%over
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Emmet SheehanLAD starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 4 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -105 fanduel / U -104 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 6.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.582%over
O 4.568%under
O 5.552%under
O 6.537%under
O 7.524%under
O 8.515%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+194 / -235BAL / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total