MLB / mlb / live
LAA 13 / LAD 5LAALos Angeles Angels40%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers60%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterJosé Soriano
Model pickLAD moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterEmmet Sheehan
LAA40%ML +210
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
LAD60%ML -254
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time5.2 pts
Sheehan's 10.8 ERA across 3.1 IP is extreme small sample noise; Soriano's 0.0 ERA in 6.0 IP equally unreliable. Market is 11pp more confident in LAD than model (65% vs 60%). Missing park factor removes key total context. No structural comparison visible; defer to market with no action.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+210 / -254LAA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML22 run line21 total