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LAA 2 / LAD 9
LAALos Angeles Angels36%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers64%

at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
LAAAway starterJack Kochanowicz
Model pickLAD moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterYoshinobu Yamamoto
LAA36%ML +280
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability75%Selected moneyline pick
LAD64%ML -357

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#2
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap10.7 pts

Market has LAD at 75% vs model's 64%, an 11-point gap. Kochanowicz's 11.25 ERA in 40 IP is brutal but LAA offense is elite (.860 OPS). Yamamoto's 3.00 ERA on just 60 IP means sample is thin. Model likely underweighting LAA's offense vs market's sharper read. Lean LAD but don't follow model's confidence.

Large model-market gap

Projection Context

Projected margin1.3
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Odds & Market Context

Market consensus+280 / -357LAA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total