MLB / mlb / live
PHI 2 / LAD 4PHIPhiladelphia Phillies49%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers51%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterZack Wheeler
Model pickLAD moneyline51%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterJustin Wrobleski
PHI49%ML -104
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
LAD51%ML -117
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total lean · analyst-timeOver
Model-market gap · analyst-time0.5 pts
Missing all pitcher stats (ERA, WHIP, K/9, IP) and park factor creates unacceptable uncertainty for a side pick. Model and market both see coin flip (~51%). Total: model 9.26 vs market 8.0 suggests value on over, but without pitcher peripherals or venue context, confidence is low.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.3
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-104 / -117PHI / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -112 / U -109
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total