MLB / mlb / live
SEA 7 / LAA 2SEASeattle Mariners54%
LAALos Angeles Angels46%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterGeorge KirbyConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline54%Model 20260914_auto
LAAHome starterYusei KikuchiConfirmed
SEA54%ML -130
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
LAA46%ML +110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
George KirbySEA starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +110 bovada / U -124 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.555%over
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Yusei KikuchiLAA starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +100 betmgm / U -119 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-130 / +110SEA / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -114 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total