MLB / mlb / live
NYY 7 / LAA 3NYYNew York Yankees55%
LAALos Angeles Angels45%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterGerrit ColeConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline55%Model 20260831_auto
LAAHome starterGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
NYY55%ML -189
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
LAA45%ML +156
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Gerrit ColeNYY starter / away
Projected K6.7Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -104 fanduel / U -110 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 6.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.589%over
O 4.578%over
O 5.564%under
O 6.550%under
O 7.536%under
O 8.524%under
O 9.515%under
O 10.59%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Grayson RodriguezLAA starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +102 fanduel / U -117 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%over
O 5.542%over
O 6.527%over
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-189 / +156NYY / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-113)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -122
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total