MLB / mlb / live
CLE 4 / LAA 2CLECleveland Guardians51%
LAALos Angeles Angels49%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterParker MessickConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline51%Model 20260824_auto
LAAHome starterGeorge KlassenConfirmed
CLE51%ML -164
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
LAA49%ML +140
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Parker MessickCLE starter / away
Projected K5.9Actual 4 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +120 fanduel / U -144 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 7.526%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%under
O 5.554%under
O 6.539%under
O 7.526%under
O 8.516%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
George KlassenLAA starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 bovada / U -150 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.565%under
O 4.547%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-164 / +140CLE / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -120
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total