MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMILMilwaukee Brewers57%
LAALos Angeles Angels43%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterJacob MisiorowskiProbable
Model pickMIL moneyline57%Model 20260727_auto
LAAHome starterWalbert UreñaProbable
MIL57%ML -236
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability67%Selected moneyline pick
LAA43%ML +192
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL starter / away
Projected K9.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%
O 2.599%
O 3.598%
O 4.595%
O 5.589%
O 6.581%
O 7.570%
O 8.558%
O 9.546%
O 10.535%
O 11.525%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Walbert UrenaLAA starter / home
Projected K5.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.589%
O 3.577%
O 4.562%
O 5.545%
O 6.530%
O 7.519%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-236 / +192MIL / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+113)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -102
31 books30 ML23 run line21 total