MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMILMilwaukee Brewers55%
LAALos Angeles Angels45%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterShane DrohanProbable
Model pickMIL moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
LAAHome starterRyan JohnsonProbable
MIL55%ML -167
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
LAA45%ML +140
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Shane DrohanMIL starter / away
Projected K5.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.575%
O 4.559%
O 5.542%
O 6.528%
O 7.517%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / home
Projected K4.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.580%
O 3.563%
O 4.544%
O 5.528%
O 6.516%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-167 / +140MIL / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -106 / U -114
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total