MLB / mlb / live
scheduledHOUHouston Astros47%
LAALos Angeles Angels53%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterPeter LambertProbable
Model pickLAA moneyline53%Model 20260727_auto
LAAHome starterReid DetmersProbable
HOU47%ML -109
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
LAA53%ML -109
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Peter LambertHOU starter / away
Projected K5.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.579%
O 4.564%
O 5.547%
O 6.532%
O 7.520%
O 8.512%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Reid DetmersLAA starter / home
Projected K5.8
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.592%
O 3.581%
O 4.567%
O 5.551%
O 6.536%
O 7.523%
O 8.514%
O 9.58%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-109 / -109HOU / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total