MLB / mlb / live
STL 1 / LAA 5STLSt. Louis Cardinals55%
LAALos Angeles Angels45%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
LAAHome starterWalbert UreñaConfirmed
STL55%ML +100
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
LAA45%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Matthew LiberatoreSTL starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +126 fanduel / U -144 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%over
O 5.540%over
O 6.526%over
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Walbert UrenaLAA starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betmgm / U -156 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.555%over
O 5.539%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -120STL / LAA moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total