MLB / mlb / live
OAK 2 / LAA 5OAKOakland Athletics44%
LAALos Angeles Angels56%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJack PerkinsConfirmed
Model pickLAA moneyline56%Model 20260622_auto
LAAHome starterReid DetmersConfirmed
OAK44%ML -105
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
LAA56%ML -114
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jack PerkinsOAK starter / away
Projected K5.2Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -133 draftkings / U +115 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%over
O 5.542%under
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Reid DetmersLAA starter / home
Projected K6.2Actual 8 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +125 betmgm / U -120 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 7.530%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.586%over
O 4.573%over
O 5.558%over
O 6.543%over
O 7.530%over
O 8.519%under
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-105 / -114OAK / LAA moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+122)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total