MLB / mlb / live
TBR 3 / LAA 4TBRTampa Bay Rays57%
LAALos Angeles Angels43%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterShane McClanahan
Model pickTBR moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterSam Aldegheri
TBR57%ML -164
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
LAA43%ML +140
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedLines
Shane McClanahanTBR starter / away
Projected K5.3Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -127 betrivers / U +106 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%over
O 5.544%over
O 6.529%over
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Sam AldegheriLAA starter / home
Projected K3.0Actual 4 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -160 fanatics / U +133 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 2.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.558%over
O 3.536%over
O 4.520%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-164 / +140TBR / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total