MLB / mlb / live
HOU 5 / LAA 4HOUHouston Astros54%
LAALos Angeles Angels46%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterSpencer Arrighetti
Model pickHOU moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterGrayson Rodriguez
HOU54%ML -130
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
LAA46%ML +110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-130 / +110HOU / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -120 / U -103
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total