MLB / mlb / live
LAD 6 / LAA 0LADLos Angeles Dodgers59%
LAALos Angeles Angels41%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterWill Klein
Model pickLAD moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterJack Kochanowicz
LAD59%ML -240
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability68%Selected moneyline pick
LAA41%ML +195
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#2
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap8.9 pts
LAD strong favorite at both model (60.2%) and market (69.3% implied). LAA offense anemic at 2.6 RPG vs LAD 4.2 RPG. Kochanowicz 11.25 ERA in 4.0 IP is brutal small sample. Snell data missing (null ERA/IP) creates total uncertainty despite 9.0/9.45 convergence. Side reasonable, total opaque.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.7
Projected total9.5
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-240 / +195LAD / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -112
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total