MLB / mlb / live
LAD 6 / LAA 0LADLos Angeles Dodgers59%
LAALos Angeles Angels41%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterWill Klein
Model pickLAD moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterJack Kochanowicz
LAD59%ML -240
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
LAA41%ML +195
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#2
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time7.6 pts
LAD strong favorite at both model (60.2%) and market (69.3% implied). LAA offense anemic at 2.6 RPG vs LAD 4.2 RPG. Kochanowicz 11.25 ERA in 4.0 IP is brutal small sample. Snell data missing (null ERA/IP) creates total uncertainty despite 9.0/9.45 convergence. Side reasonable, total opaque.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.7
Projected total9.5
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-240 / +195LAD / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -112
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total