MLB / mlb / live
CHW 6 / LAA 0CHWChicago White Sox42%
LAALos Angeles Angels58%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterDavis Martin
Model pickLAA moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterJosé Soriano
CHW42%ML +134
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
LAA58%ML -159
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap0.9 pts
Away pitcher Davis Martin has null stats across all categories despite 10 starts flagged as 'full' data—a critical data integrity issue. Model projects 9.07 runs vs market 7.5, but without Martin's ERA/WHIP/K9 I cannot evaluate if that gap is justified. Soriano's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is too small to be meaningful. Pass until data resolves.
total far from marketoffense defense mismatch
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+134 / -159CHW / LAA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -114 / U -105
31 books29 ML25 run line22 total