MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCLECleveland Guardians58%
KCRKansas City Royals42%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterGavin WilliamsProbable
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260921_auto
KCRHome starterNoah CameronProbable
CLE58%ML -141
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
KCR42%ML +119
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.2
Projected total8.0
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Gavin WilliamsCLE starter / away
Projected K7.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.597%
O 3.592%
O 4.583%
O 5.572%
O 6.558%
O 7.544%
O 8.531%
O 9.521%
O 10.513%
O 11.58%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Noah CameronKCR starter / home
Projected K4.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.522%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-141 / +119CLE / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -114 / U -106
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total