MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHWChicago White Sox46%
KCRKansas City Royals54%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterBryan HudsonProbable
Model pickKCR moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
KCRHome starterSeth LugoProbable
CHW46%ML -116
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
KCR54%ML -104
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Bryan HudsonCHW starter / away
Projected K1.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.552%
O 2.526%
O 3.511%
O 4.54%
O 5.51%
O 6.50%
O 7.50%
O 8.50%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Seth LugoKCR starter / home
Projected K4.5
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.582%
O 3.565%
O 4.547%
O 5.531%
O 6.518%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-116 / -104CHW / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total