MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHWChicago White Sox47%
KCRKansas City Royals53%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterAnthony KayProbable
Model pickKCR moneyline53%Model 20260921_auto
KCRHome starterDaniel Lynch IVProbable
CHW47%ML -118
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
KCR53%ML +100
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Anthony KayCHW starter / away
Projected K3.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.569%
O 3.548%
O 4.530%
O 5.516%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.51%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Daniel Lynch IVKCR starter / home
Projected K3.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%
O 2.564%
O 3.543%
O 4.525%
O 5.513%
O 6.56%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-118 / +100CHW / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -112 / U -110
32 books31 ML25 run line24 total