MLB / mlb / live
scheduledARIArizona Diamondbacks48%
KCRKansas City Royals52%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterZac GallenProbable
Model pickKCR moneyline52%Model 20260907_auto
KCRHome starterDaniel Lynch IVProbable
ARI48%ML -114
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
KCR52%ML -106
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.6
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Zac GallenARI starter / away
Projected K3.0
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%
O 2.558%
O 3.536%
O 4.520%
O 5.59%
O 6.54%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Daniel Lynch IVKCR starter / home
Projected K2.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.574%
O 2.550%
O 3.529%
O 4.514%
O 5.56%
O 6.52%
O 7.51%
O 8.50%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-114 / -106ARI / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
24 books23 ML17 run line16 total