MLB / mlb / live
MIA 9 / KCR 6MIAMiami Marlins46%
KCRKansas City Royals54%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterEury PérezConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline54%Model 20260831_auto
KCRHome starterNoah CameronConfirmed
MIA46%ML +102
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
KCR54%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total8.8
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eury PérezMIA starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -148 betrivers / U +122 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Noah CameronKCR starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -118 betmgm / U +100 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 4.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.537%over
O 6.523%over
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+102 / -120MIA / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.8O -113 / U -109
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total