MLB / mlb / live
MIA 3 / KCR 7MIAMiami Marlins42%
KCRKansas City Royals58%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterSandy AlcantaraConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline58%Model 20260831_auto
KCRHome starterMichael WachaConfirmed
MIA42%ML +106
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
KCR58%ML -124
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Sandy AlcantaraMIA starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -123 betonlineag / U +105 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%under
O 3.559%under
O 4.540%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Michael WachaKCR starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -130 betonlineag / U +110 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 4.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.551%over
O 5.534%over
O 6.521%over
O 7.512%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+106 / -124MIA / KCR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total