MLB / mlb / live
DET 7 / KCR 11DETDetroit Tigers56%
KCRKansas City Royals44%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterJacob WaguespackConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline56%Model 20260817_auto
KCRHome starterDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
DET56%ML -112
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
KCR44%ML -105
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jacob WaguespackDET starter / away
Projected K3.0Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.579%under
O 2.556%under
O 3.534%under
O 4.518%under
O 5.58%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Daniel Lynch IVKCR starter / home
Projected K3.0Actual 2 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -110 betmgm / U +109 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 2.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.558%under
O 3.536%under
O 4.519%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-112 / -105DET / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total