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MIN 4 / KCR 3
MINMinnesota Twins47%
KCRKansas City Royals53%

at Kauffman Stadium

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
MINAway starterBailey OberConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
KCRHome starterMichael WachaConfirmed
MIN47%ML +113
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
KCR53%ML -132

Projection Context

Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Bailey OberMIN starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 0 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -110 betrivers / U +100 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%under
O 2.570%under
O 3.549%under
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.

Michael WachaKCR starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -125 bovada / U +105 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%under
O 2.583%under
O 3.567%under
O 4.548%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+113 / -132MIN / KCR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -103
32 books31 ML22 run line22 total