MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMINMinnesota Twins52%
KCRKansas City Royals48%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterJoe RyanProbable
Model pickMIN moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
KCRHome starterRandy DobnakProbable
MIN52%ML -145
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
KCR48%ML +123
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Joe RyanMIN starter / away
Projected K5.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.589%
O 3.576%
O 4.560%
O 5.543%
O 6.528%
O 7.517%
O 8.510%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Randy DobnakKCR starter / home
Projected K3.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%
O 2.567%
O 3.545%
O 4.527%
O 5.514%
O 6.57%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-145 / +123MIN / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -106
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total