MLB / mlb / live
NYY 4 / KCR 3NYYNew York Yankees42%
KCRKansas City Royals58%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterWill Warren
Model pickKCR moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
KCRHome starterMichael Wacha
NYY42%ML -132
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability45%Selected moneyline pick
KCR58%ML +111
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-132 / +111NYY / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total